Today we have an UFC event and at first we couldn’t really find any value anywhere and we are still looking deep into this event.
1 bet that popped up will be Diego Sanchez 4.20 (+320) at 5dimes.
When Ellenberger vs Sanchez was announced we were sure we were going to get a good bet on Ellenberger but the bookmakers was on top of this one and Pinnacle opened it at 1.43 on Ellenberger and that is a fair price according to us.
The betting so far has been one sided and the line on Ellenberger moved down a lot and now you can find Sanchez at 4.20 which is to high for us. We estimate Sanchez chances to 25-30% to win the fight and it will give us plenty of value.
This is a perfect example of a bet were we do not think Sanchez will win the fight most of the times and favors Ellenberger to win this fight but the market pushed down the odds to much on Ellenberger and it is time for us to step in on the underdog and take advantage of the markets overreaction.



